Nate Silver on the Election, Pundits, and His Drunk Alter Ego
The New York Times statistician talked to Chicago while promoting his new book, The Signal and the Noise
The New York Times statistician talked to Chicago while promoting his new book, The Signal and the Noise
The GOP is having trouble breaking 30 percent of the vote in the nation’s major cities (over 500,000), costing it millions of votes in an increasingly urban nation. It hasn’t always been this way.
County by county in Illinois, Barack Obama picked up fewer votes in 2012 than in 2008, including in Cook and all the collar counties. But on a Congressional and state level, Illinois Democrats thrived, thanks in part to redistricting. Concerned? There’s an idea, and an app, for that.
Karl Rove’s much-feared American Crossroads juggernaut was soundly whipped by the SEIU in the 2012 elections, by a score of 70-6. It’s one of many big-money SuperPACs that got thrashed this season. The Citizens United decision poured tons of money into a billion-dollar cycle, but that wasn’t a guarantee anyone would know what to do with it.
Event photography is neither for the short nor the weak at heart. Nor is it for rapidly-aging 30-somethings who mostly edit for a living.
The T-1000 poly-Mitt alloy who lost to Barack Obama last night is wide open to criticism for his Teflon, managerial ideology. But it raises the question if anyone could have done better, including consistently ideological Mitt Romneys from alternate universes.
This year’s victory rally was by invitation only, open mostly to campaign staffers and volunteers. Here’s your behind-the-scenes look, including Rahm, Will.i.am, the First Family, and more.
Latino support for the GOP presidential nominee is cratering—dropping ten percent per election since 2004. But it’s nothing compared to the party’s problem with Muslims, who used to be a small but growing pillar of the party with a natural affinity for its cultural and economic ideologies.
Journalism made immense strides during the 2012 campaign in data gathering, analysis, and visualization, greatly expanding journalists’ toolkit even as some were loathe to use these new tools. But it still pales in contrast to the knowledge and abilities of then campaigns these new tools are meant to pick apart.
Inside McCormick Place last night, features editor David Bernstein and editor-in-chief Elizabeth Fenner mixed with the crowd to watch the election results come in. Here are some highlights.